EASTERN MICHIGAN
E MICHIGANEMU
2-5 | Road
30
MIAMI (OH)
MIAMI OHM-OH
3-3 | Home
44
Key Game
KEY GAME
Rudy Kessinger
#46 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
Leo Colombi
#28 | Defensive Back| Player | |
|---|---|
| Rudy Kessinger | None-None |
| Leo Colombi | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
E MICHIGAN
0%
MIAMI OH
100%
E MICHIGAN
--
MIAMI OH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
50.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around EMU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)
EMU By 1-6 points
3.8%
EMU By 7-13 points
8.8%
M-OH By 1-6 points
1.4%
M-OH By 7-13 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Michigan
39
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Miami (OH)
11
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
Eastern Michigan
20
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Miami (OH)
27
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
E Michigan
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Miami OH
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
E Michigan (-13.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Sim
Miami OH (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o47.5
Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Sim
u47.5
Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 18, 2025
EMU @ M-OH
30 - 44
Oct 12, 2024
M-OH @ EMU
38 - 14
Oct 9, 2021
M-OH @ EMU
12 - 13
Nov 15, 2017
EMU @ M-OH
27 - 24
Oct 29, 2016
M-OH @ EMU
28 - 15
Key Model Drivers
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+9.0% more
Eastern Michigan: 0.4
vs
Miami (OH): 0.3
Turnovers (L5)
+12.0% more
Miami (OH): 0.9
vs
Eastern Michigan: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EMU Score
39.0
30
M-OH Score
11.0
44
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.5 / 19.9
23.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards
167.3 / 163.0
295.0 / 60.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.4
0.73 / 0.46
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.7 / 0.3
Total Yards
366.8 / 347.6
454.0 / 369.0
Turnovers
0.9 / 0.8
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
Advantage
3-3-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: -1.0
M-OH
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -2.4
ATS +/-: -4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU
3-3-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: -1.0
M-OH
2-2-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -2.4
ATS +/-: -4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
2-4-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
M-OH
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +8.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
EMU
M-OH
EMU
ML
60%
3-2
67%
4-2
60%
3-2
50%
3-3
ATS
40%
2-3
50%
3-3
20%
1-4
33%
2-4
TTL
80%
4-1
67%
4-2
80%
4-1
50%
3-3
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