Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Old Dominion @ James Madison ODU @ JMU

OLD DOMINION

OLD DOMINIONODU

4-2  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sat, Oct 18 • 3:30 PM ET
Bridgeforth Stadium
View Odds Details →

JAMES MADISON

JAMES MADISONJMU

5-1  |  Home

63
Key Game
Ian Brandt
KEY GAME

Ian Brandt

#96 | Punter
@
Patrick Rea
KEY GAME

Patrick Rea

#11 | Punter
Player
Ian Brandt None-None
Patrick Rea None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OLD DOMINION
100%
📊
JAMES MADISON
0%
OLD DOMINION --
JAMES MADISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
JAMES MADISON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (James Madison)
Old DominionODU (-3.5) 0 James MadisonJMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Old Dominion Cover

30.9%

James Madison Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around JMU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JMU)

ODU By 1-6 points

12.9%

ODU By 7-13 points

9.6%

JMU By 1-6 points

16.5%

JMU By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
39
OLD DOMINION
46
JAMES MADISON
Simulated Score
20
OLD DOMINION
31
JAMES MADISON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI James Madison Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim James Madison Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI James Madison (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim James Madison (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o47.5 Win
Proj Total: 85.0
C
Sim o47.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 26, 2026 JMU @ ODU 46 - 20
Oct 18, 2025 ODU @ JMU 27 - 63
Nov 16, 2024 JMU @ ODU 35 - 32
Oct 28, 2023 ODU @ JMU 27 - 30
Nov 12, 2022 JMU @ ODU 37 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Time of Possession (L5) +13.0% more
James Madison: 0.6 vs Old Dominion: 0.5
Turnovers (L5) +52.4% more
Old Dominion: 2.9 vs James Madison: 1.4
Total Yards (L5) +18.5% more
Old Dominion: 501.8 vs James Madison: 409.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 39.0 27
JMU Score 46.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.0 / 22.0 27.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 221.1 / 235.3 311.0 / 76.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.75 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.69 / 0.31
Total Yards 409.0 / 501.8 624.0 / 285.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 2.9 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
JMU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 31.6 ATS +/-: +17.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
JMU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 31.6 ATS +/-: +17.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.3
JMU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +7.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JMU
ODU
JMU
ODU
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
ATS
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
TTL
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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