WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
1-1-0 | Road
5
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
0-2-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Neal Pionk
#4 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Pionk | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 4.12 | 0.840 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.12
--
Save %
0.840
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
JETS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
NYI @ WPG
4 - 5
Oct 13, 2025
WPG @ NYI
5 - 2
Mar 4, 2025
WPG @ NYI
2 - 3
Feb 7, 2025
NYI @ WPG
3 - 4
Mar 23, 2024
WPG @ NYI
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+39.5% more
New York: 36.3
vs
Winnipeg: 26.0
Power Play % (L5)
+13.3%
New York: 22.9%
vs
Winnipeg: 9.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.4%
New York: 56.0%
vs
Winnipeg: 47.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+41.4% more
Winnipeg: 4.2
vs
New York: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.0
5
NYI Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.5 / 15.4
13.0 / 24.0
Faceoff %
56.0 / 47.6
43.1 / 56.9
Hits
27.0 / 29.0
14.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
22.9 / 9.6
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
36.3 / 26.0
35.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
2.5 / 4.2
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
WPG
NYI
WPG
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
TTL
67%
2-1-1
50%
2-2
100%
3-0-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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