SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
1-0 | Road
10
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
0-1 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Emerson Hancock
#26 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Braydon Fisher
#63 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Hancock | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
| Braydon Fisher | None-None | 10.13 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
10.13
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
BLUE JAYS
0%
MARINERS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
10.7%
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TOR By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.89
SEATTLE
Toronto
5.88
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Blue Jays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
SEA @ TOR
0 - 7
Aug 29, 2026
SEA @ TOR
3 - 4
Aug 28, 2026
SEA @ TOR
1 - 8
Jul 5, 2026
TOR @ SEA
0 - 4
Jul 4, 2026
TOR @ SEA
0 - 11
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.10
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.381
.693
▲
OPS
.692
182
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+56.0% more
Toronto: 1.4
vs
Seattle: 0.9
Walks (L5)
+28.3% more
Toronto: 3.9
vs
Seattle: 3.0
Total Bases (L5)
+27.3% more
Toronto: 14.7
vs
Seattle: 11.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+16.0% more
Toronto: 10.1
vs
Seattle: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.9
10
TOR Score
5.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.4
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.3 / 7.5
6.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.9
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
10.1 / 8.7
14.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
14.7 / 11.6
7.0 / 21.0
Walks
3.9 / 3.0
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
SEA
TOR
SEA
ML
46%
74-87
50%
81-81
50%
80-80
52%
85-77
ATS
56%
90-71
60%
98-64
49%
79-81
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
80-76-5
56%
85-67-10
45%
70-85-5
53%
81-71-10
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