Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Brewers LAD @ MIL

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Oct 13 • 8:08 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

0-0  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Roki Sasaki
STARTING PITCHER

Roki Sasaki

#11 | Starting Pitcher
@
Abner Uribe
STARTING PITCHER

Abner Uribe

#45 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Roki Sasaki None-None 1.50 -- 0.2 --
Abner Uribe None-None 2.25 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
1.50 Ldr ERA 2.25
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
50%
📊
BREWERS
50%
DODGERS --
BREWERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Milwaukee)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

39.3%

Brewers Cover

60.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.4%

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.5%

AI Model Projected Score
4.71
LOS ANGELES
5.8
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brewers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Brewers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brewers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim Brewers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 2
Aug 15, 2026 MIL @ LAD 4 - 1
Aug 14, 2026 MIL @ LAD 1 - 3
Aug 13, 2026 MIL @ LAD 5 - 4
May 24, 2026 LAD @ MIL 5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Milwaukee MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.762 ▲
OPS
.743
204 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +81.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Runs per Game (Season) +4.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Los Angeles: 4.9
On-Base Pct (Season) +0.3%
Milwaukee: 34.1% vs Los Angeles: 33.8%
Errors (L5) +68.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0 vs Milwaukee: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.7 2
MIL Score 5.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.5 / 7.9 2.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.6 / 10.1 4.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 12.2 / 11.6 3.0 / 12.0
Walks 3.3 / 4.3 8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
LAD
MIL
LAD
ML
62% 101-61
56% 92-73
52% 84-78
48% 79-87
ATS
58% 94-68
59% 98-67
48% 78-84
43% 72-94
TTL
40% 62-92-8
48% 77-82-6
50% 77-77-8
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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