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WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

1-1-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Oct 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

2-1-0  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Charlie Lindgren
GOALTENDER

Charlie Lindgren

#79 | Goaltender
@
Jonathan Quick
GOALTENDER

Jonathan Quick

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Charlie Lindgren None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Jonathan Quick None-None 1.03 0.952 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 1.03
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.952
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
CAPITALS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
CapitalsWSH (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Capitals Cover

69.1%

Rangers Cover

30.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

WSH By 1 goal

19.7%

WSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

NYR By 1 goal

12.1%

NYR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
WASHINGTON
2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
WASHINGTON
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Capitals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Capitals (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 WSH @ NYR 1 - 8
Dec 31, 2025 NYR @ WSH 3 - 6
Dec 23, 2025 NYR @ WSH 7 - 3
Oct 12, 2025 WSH @ NYR 1 - 0
Mar 5, 2025 WSH @ NYR 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.1% more
Washington: 32.1 vs New York: 28.6
Takeaways (L5) +47.9% more
New York: 5.2 vs Washington: 3.5
Power Play % (L5) +16.8%
New York: 17.9% vs Washington: 1.2%
Hits (L5) +11.5% more
New York: 29.5 vs Washington: 26.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 3.0 1
NYR Score 2.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.9 / 15.1 16.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 51.9 / 48.9 65.3 / 34.7
Hits 29.5 / 26.5 18.0 / 26.0
Power Play % 1792.0 / 116.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.6 / 32.1 35.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 5.2 / 3.5 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
66%MONEY34%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
WSH
NYR
WSH
ML
80% 4-1
100% 3-0
40% 2-3
67% 2-1
ATS
80% 4-1
100% 3-0
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
TTL
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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