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LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

1-2  |  Road

104
FINAL
Tue, Oct 14 • 10:00 PM ET
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PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

2-1  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
📊
SUNS
0%
LAKERS --
SUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Phoenix)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 SunsPHX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

44.5%

Suns Cover

55.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)

LAL By 1-7 points

23.8%

LAL By 8-14 points

13.1%

PHX By 1-7 points

26.5%

PHX By 8-14 points

17.6%

AI Model Projected Score
105.38
LOS ANGELES
106.77
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
110
LOS ANGELES
115
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Suns Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Suns Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Suns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.4
D
Sim Suns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 212.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 PHX @ LAL 73 - 101
Feb 26, 2026 LAL @ PHX 110 - 113
Dec 23, 2025 LAL @ PHX 108 - 132
Dec 14, 2025 LAL @ PHX 116 - 114
Dec 1, 2025 PHX @ LAL 125 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +64.4% more
Phoenix: 6.8 vs Los Angeles: 4.1
Steals (L5) +39.1% more
Phoenix: 11.5 vs Los Angeles: 8.2
Assists (L5) +20.5% more
Phoenix: 27.8 vs Los Angeles: 23.1
Turnovers (L5) +18.5% more
Los Angeles: 19.2 vs Phoenix: 15.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 105.4 104
PHX Score 106.8 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 35.5 38.1 / 33.3
Assists 27.8 / 23.1 27.0 / 18.0
Blocks 6.8 / 4.1 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 45.0 46.1 / 44.4
Free Throw % 72.3 / 79.2 37.5 / 75.0
Rebounding 41.7 / 40.6 38.0 / 49.0
Steals 11.5 / 8.2 12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 19.2 13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
PHX
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
LAL
PHX
LAL
ML
57% 60-45
61% 68-43
51% 45-43
54% 49-42
ATS
58% 59-43-3
61% 67-43-1
51% 45-43
54% 49-42
TTL
59% 61-42-2
61% 66-43-2
100% 88-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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