SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
0-0 | Road
3
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
0-0 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Seranthony Dominguez
#58 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Mason Fluharty
#68 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Dominguez | None-None | 2.45 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Mason Fluharty | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 0.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.45 Ldr
ERA
6.75
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 0.2
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
50%
BLUE JAYS
50%
MARINERS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
41%
Under 0
59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
SEA By 1-2 runs
17.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
12.0%
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.2%
TOR By 3-4 runs
15.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.2
SEATTLE
Toronto
5.74
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Toronto
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim
Blue Jays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
SEA @ TOR
0 - 7
Aug 29, 2026
SEA @ TOR
3 - 4
Aug 28, 2026
SEA @ TOR
1 - 8
Jul 5, 2026
TOR @ SEA
0 - 4
Jul 4, 2026
TOR @ SEA
0 - 11
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.10
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.381
.693
▲
OPS
.692
182
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+84.0% more
Toronto: 1.7
vs
Seattle: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+65.4% more
Toronto: 19.6
vs
Seattle: 11.8
Errors (L5)
+54.0% more
Toronto: 0.7
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Hits (L5)
+47.0% more
Toronto: 11.5
vs
Seattle: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.2
3
TOR Score
5.7
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.1
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
11.5 / 7.8
2.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.6 / 11.0
11.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
19.6 / 11.8
5.0 / 11.0
Walks
4.3 / 3.0
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
SEA
TOR
SEA
ML
46%
74-87
50%
81-81
50%
80-80
52%
85-77
ATS
56%
90-71
60%
98-64
49%
79-81
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
80-76-5
56%
85-67-10
45%
70-85-5
53%
81-71-10
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …