OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

1-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Oct 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

2-0-0  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Linus Ullmark None-None 6.00 0.778 --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.00 GAA --
0.778 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
SENATORS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

30.9%

Panthers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

OTT By 1 goal

12.1%

OTT By 2-3 goals

9.3%

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
OTTAWA
3
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
3
OTTAWA
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 FLA @ OTT 1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026 OTT @ FLA 3 - 6
Jan 10, 2026 FLA @ OTT 3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025 OTT @ FLA 2 - 6
Apr 5, 2025 FLA @ OTT 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +14.4%
Florida: 36.6% vs Ottawa: 22.2%
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.6% more
Florida: 35.1 vs Ottawa: 30.9
Hits (L5) +17.6% more
Ottawa: 30.1 vs Florida: 24.8
Takeaways (L5) +12.2% more
Ottawa: 2.2 vs Florida: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 2.0 2
FLA Score 3.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.8 / 11.2 7.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 51.3 / 51.4 32.8 / 67.2
Hits 24.8 / 30.1 28.0 / 27.0
Power Play % 36.6 / 22.2 60.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 35.1 / 30.9 27.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 1.9 / 2.2 5.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
95%MONEY5%