NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
1-1-0 | Road
6
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
2-0-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 1.01 | 0.947 | -- |
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 6.04 | 0.800 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.01 Ldr
GAA
6.04
0.947 Ldr
Save %
0.800
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
RANGERS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
NYR By 1 goal
12.1%
NYR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
PIT @ NYR
2 - 3
Jan 31, 2026
NYR @ PIT
5 - 6
Oct 11, 2025
NYR @ PIT
6 - 1
Oct 7, 2025
PIT @ NYR
3 - 0
Feb 23, 2025
NYR @ PIT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+15.7%
Pittsburgh: 17.6%
vs
New York: 1.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+25.1% more
New York: 3.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 2.9
Hits (L5)
+21.8% more
New York: 29.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 22.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.0%
New York: 53.8%
vs
Pittsburgh: 48.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.0
6
PIT Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 16.3
18.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 53.8
52.0 / 48.0
Hits
22.9 / 29.3
14.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
17.6 / 1.9
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 27.9
19.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
2.9 / 3.8
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NYR
PIT
NYR
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
TTL
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
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