BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
0-1-0 | Road
1
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
2-0-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 2.08 | 0.933 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 1.00 | 0.955 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.08
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.933
Save %
Ldr 0.955
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
BRUINS
0%
SABRES
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BUF By 1 goal
12.1%
BUF By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Boston
3
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 1, 2026
BUF @ BOS
4 - 1
Apr 28, 2026
BOS @ BUF
2 - 1
Apr 26, 2026
BUF @ BOS
6 - 1
Apr 23, 2026
BUF @ BOS
3 - 1
Apr 21, 2026
BOS @ BUF
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+65.9% more
Boston: 3.6
vs
Buffalo: 2.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+62.8% more
Boston: 19.8
vs
Buffalo: 12.1
Power Play % (L5)
+34.3%
Boston: 36.6%
vs
Buffalo: 2.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+16.2%
Boston: 53.1%
vs
Buffalo: 37.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.0
1
BOS Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.8 / 12.1
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
53.1 / 37.0
53.6 / 46.4
Hits
26.4 / 22.8
25.0 / 32.0
Power Play %
3663.0 / 230.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.2 / 36.1
31.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 2.2
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
BUF
BOS
BUF
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
TTL
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Kaprizov's Two Goals Propel Wild Past Bruins 4-1
Wild Aim to Stay Perfect at Home Against Bruins; Newcomers Shine…
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener