MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
1-1-0 | Road
3
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
0-1-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sam Montembeault
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Montembeault | None-None | 2.01 | 0.909 | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 3.01 | 0.893 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01 Ldr
GAA
3.01
0.909 Ldr
Save %
0.893
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
100%
CANADIENS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
MTL By 1 goal
19.7%
MTL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CHI By 1 goal
12.1%
CHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canadiens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canadiens (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 18, 2025
CHI @ MTL
1 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
MTL @ CHI
3 - 2
Apr 14, 2025
CHI @ MTL
4 - 3
Jan 3, 2025
MTL @ CHI
2 - 4
Dec 22, 2023
MTL @ CHI
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.2% more
Montreal: 30.6
vs
Chicago: 24.8
Power Play % (L5)
+17.1%
Montreal: 20.5%
vs
Chicago: 3.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.6% more
Montreal: 24.7
vs
Chicago: 21.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
Montreal: 45.9%
vs
Chicago: 41.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
3.0
3
CHI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 12.8
16.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
41.4 / 45.9
38.5 / 61.5
Hits
24.8 / 30.6
22.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
3.4 / 20.5
25.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
21.1 / 24.7
22.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 3.1
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MTL
CHI
MTL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
100%
3-0
TTL
33%
1-2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1-1
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…