DALLAS
STARSDAL
1-0-0 | Road
5
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
2-0-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.69 | 0.897 | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 3.69 | 0.818 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.69
GAA
3.69
0.897 Ldr
Save %
0.818
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
STARS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
DAL By 1 goal
12.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
COL @ DAL
2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026
DAL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026
COL @ DAL
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
DAL @ COL
5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025
COL @ DAL
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+70.9% more
Colorado: 3.4
vs
Dallas: 2.0
Hits (L5)
+16.1% more
Colorado: 27.1
vs
Dallas: 23.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.5% more
Dallas: 35.1
vs
Colorado: 26.5
Power Play % (L5)
+3.2%
Dallas: 22.1%
vs
Colorado: 18.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
5
COL Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 17.3
8.0 / 25.0
Faceoff %
54.1 / 52.7
47.4 / 52.6
Hits
27.1 / 23.3
19.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
18.9 / 22.1
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 35.1
39.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 2.0
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
DAL
COL
DAL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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