ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
0-1-0 | Road
7
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
0-0-1 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Petr Mrazek
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek | None-None | 6.02 | 0.739 | -- |
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 6.93 | 0.841 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.02 Ldr
GAA
6.93
0.739
Save %
Ldr 0.841
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
SHARKS
100%
DUCKS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
ANA By 1 goal
19.7%
ANA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ducks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
SJ @ ANA
1 - 6
Apr 1, 2026
ANA @ SJ
3 - 4
Dec 29, 2025
SJ @ ANA
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
ANA @ SJ
7 - 6
Oct 1, 2025
ANA @ SJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+34.3% more
Anaheim: 34.7
vs
San Jose: 22.8
Hits (L5)
+10.3% more
Anaheim: 23.7
vs
San Jose: 21.3
Takeaways (L5)
+252.4% more
San Jose: 4.4
vs
Anaheim: 1.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+75.3% more
San Jose: 14.3
vs
Anaheim: 8.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.0
7
SJ Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 8.2
18.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
45.8 / 45.9
57.9 / 42.1
Hits
21.3 / 23.7
20.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
21.7 / 0.1
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
22.8 / 34.7
23.0 / 44.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 1.2
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
ANA
SJ
ANA
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
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