Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Suns BKN @ PHX

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

1-1  |  Road

111
FINAL
Sun, Oct 12 • 7:00 AM ET
Venetian Arena
View Odds Details →

PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

2-0  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
SUNS
0%
NETS --
SUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Phoenix)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 SunsPHX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

47.7%

Suns Cover

52.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)

BKN By 1-7 points

24.7%

BKN By 8-14 points

14.4%

PHX By 1-7 points

25.9%

PHX By 8-14 points

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
103.42
BROOKLYN
104
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
108
BROOKLYN
115
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Suns Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Suns Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Suns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.6
D
Sim Suns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 207.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 BKN @ PHX 102 - 106
Jan 19, 2026 PHX @ BKN 126 - 117
Oct 12, 2025 BKN @ PHX 111 - 109
Oct 10, 2025 PHX @ BKN 132 - 127
Jan 22, 2025 PHX @ BKN 108 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +224.1% more
Phoenix: 6.2 vs Brooklyn: 1.9
Steals (L5) +43.5% more
Phoenix: 11.7 vs Brooklyn: 8.1
Assists (L5) +8.7% more
Phoenix: 27.7 vs Brooklyn: 25.5
Turnovers (L5) +25.4% more
Brooklyn: 22.1 vs Phoenix: 16.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 103.4 111
PHX Score 104.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 39.2 34.2 / 42.5
Assists 27.7 / 25.5 28.0 / 25.0
Blocks 6.2 / 1.9 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 45.6 43.8 / 47.5
Free Throw % 69.3 / 75.8 78.3 / 69.2
Rebounding 45.0 / 42.0 35.0 / 44.0
Steals 11.7 / 8.1 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.5 / 22.1 14.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
PHX Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
BKN
PHX
BKN
ML
57% 60-45
53% 50-45
51% 45-43
59% 48-34
ATS
58% 59-43-3
52% 48-44-3
51% 45-43
59% 48-34
TTL
59% 61-42-2
57% 54-41
100% 88-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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