DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
1-1 | Road
102
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
1-0 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
NUGGETS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
NUGGETS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
DEN By 1-7 points
17.5%
DEN By 8-14 points
7.3%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.0%
LAC By 8-14 points
23.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
108.41
DENVER
LA
114.04
LA
Simulated Score
Denver
112
DENVER
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.6
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+68.0% more
LA: 7.8
vs
Denver: 4.6
Assists (L5)
+17.1% more
LA: 26.9
vs
Denver: 23.0
Turnovers (L5)
+47.2% more
Denver: 22.0
vs
LA: 11.6
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Denver: 45.8
vs
LA: 38.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
108.4
102
LAC Score
114.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 34.8
24.3 / 35.7
Assists
26.9 / 23.0
24.0 / 23.0
Blocks
7.8 / 4.6
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 49.5
42.9 / 46.3
Free Throw %
73.4 / 77.8
73.1 / 64.7
Rebounding
38.0 / 45.8
42.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.0
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 22.0
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DEN
LAC
DEN
ML
60%
59-40
54%
57-48
55%
45-37
55%
47-39
ATS
66%
65-33-1
63%
65-38-2
55%
45-37
55%
47-39
TTL
59%
58-40-1
54%
56-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
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