CHICAGO
BEARSCHI
2-2 | Road
25
WASHINGTON
COMMANDERSWSH
3-2 | Home
24
Key Game
KEY GAME
Tory Taylor
#19 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Tress Way
#10 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Tory Taylor | None-None |
| Tress Way | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
COMMANDERS
0%
BEARS
--
COMMANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WSH -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
CHI By 1-6 points
15.3%
CHI By 7-13 points
12.9%
WSH By 1-6 points
17.0%
WSH By 7-13 points
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
17
CHICAGO
Washington
20
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
20
CHICAGO
Washington
24
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Commanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Commanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Commanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Commanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 37.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 13, 2025
CHI @ WSH
25 - 24
Oct 27, 2024
CHI @ WSH
15 - 18
Oct 5, 2023
CHI @ WSH
40 - 20
Oct 13, 2022
WSH @ CHI
12 - 7
Sep 23, 2019
CHI @ WSH
31 - 15
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+67.9% more
Washington: 153.4
vs
Chicago: 91.4
Yards Per Play (L5)
+23.9% more
Washington: 6.2
vs
Chicago: 5.0
Total Yards (L5)
+15.6% more
Washington: 355.1
vs
Chicago: 307.2
First Downs (L5)
+13.8% more
Washington: 19.8
vs
Chicago: 17.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
17.0
25
WSH Score
20.0
24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.8 / 17.4
22.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards
201.7 / 215.8
205.0 / 236.0
Rushing Yards
153.4 / 91.4
124.0 / 150.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.5
0.38 / 0.3
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards
355.1 / 307.2
329.0 / 386.0
Turnovers
0.9 / 1.0
3.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
6.2 / 5.0
5.5 / 6.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
WSH
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -8.5
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
WSH
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.5
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
WSH
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: +6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CHI
WSH
CHI
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
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