Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Jaguars SEA @ JAX

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

3-2  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sun, Oct 12 • 1:00 PM ET
EverBank Stadium
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE

JAGUARSJAX

4-1  |  Home

12
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Logan Cooke
KEY GAME

Logan Cooke

#9 | Punter
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Logan Cooke None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
JAGUARS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
57.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Seattle)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 JaguarsJAX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

64.0%

Jaguars Cover

36.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-6 points

16.9%

SEA By 7-13 points

18.5%

JAX By 1-6 points

14.2%

JAX By 7-13 points

11.3%

AI Model Projected Score
31
SEATTLE
26
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
24
SEATTLE
27
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Jaguars (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 57.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 12, 2025 SEA @ JAX 20 - 12
Oct 31, 2021 JAX @ SEA 7 - 31
Dec 10, 2017 SEA @ JAX 24 - 30
Sep 22, 2013 JAX @ SEA 17 - 45
Oct 11, 2009 JAX @ SEA 0 - 41
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +22.3% more
Seattle: 262.9 vs Jacksonville: 204.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +19.9% more
Seattle: 6.7 vs Jacksonville: 5.4
Turnovers (L5) +17.4% more
Seattle: 1.5 vs Jacksonville: 1.2
Total Yards (L5) +14.3% more
Seattle: 382.2 vs Jacksonville: 327.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 31.0 20
JAX Score 26.0 12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.3 / 21.9 17.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards 204.3 / 262.9 214.0 / 286.0
Rushing Yards 123.2 / 119.3 59.0 / 60.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.25 / 0.08
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 327.5 / 382.2 273.0 / 346.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.5 0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.4 / 6.7 4.0 / 6.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
JAX
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 12.8 ATS +/-: +11.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
JAX Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 12.8 ATS +/-: +11.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
JAX
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -7.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
SEA
JAX
SEA
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
TTL
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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