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CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

2-3  |  Road

18
FINAL
Sun, Oct 12 • 4:25 PM ET
Lambeau Field
View Odds Details →

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

2-1-1  |  Home

27
Key Game
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
@
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
Player
Ryan Rehkow None-None
Daniel Whelan None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
PACKERS
0%
BENGALS --
PACKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
40.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Green Bay)
BengalsCIN (-3.5) 0 PackersGB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

15.9%

Packers Cover

84.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GB -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

CIN By 1-6 points

7.9%

CIN By 7-13 points

4.7%

GB By 1-6 points

12.9%

GB By 7-13 points

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
13
CINCINNATI
27
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
20
CINCINNATI
24
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Packers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Packers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Packers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Packers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 40.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 12, 2025 CIN @ GB 18 - 27
Oct 10, 2021 GB @ CIN 25 - 22
Sep 24, 2017 CIN @ GB 24 - 27
Sep 22, 2013 GB @ CIN 30 - 34
Sep 20, 2009 CIN @ GB 31 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +87.3% more
Green Bay: 127.2 vs Cincinnati: 67.9
Total Yards (L5) +39.7% more
Green Bay: 365.9 vs Cincinnati: 262.0
First Downs (L5) +29.4% more
Green Bay: 22.2 vs Cincinnati: 17.1
Net Passing Yards (L5) +23.0% more
Green Bay: 238.7 vs Cincinnati: 194.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 13.0 18
GB Score 27.0 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.2 / 17.1 24.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards 238.7 / 194.1 256.0 / 213.0
Rushing Yards 127.2 / 67.9 153.0 / 55.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.6 / 0.3 0.45 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 365.9 / 262.0 409.0 / 268.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 2.3 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 4.6 6.8 / 4.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
CIN
GB
CIN
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
0% 0-3-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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