PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
1-0 | Road
132
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
1-0 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
NETS
100%
SUNS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
27.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
22.5%
BKN By 1-7 points
19.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
8.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
105.7
PHOENIX
Brooklyn
101.12
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Phoenix
108
PHOENIX
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.6
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 206.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
BKN @ PHX
102 - 106
Jan 19, 2026
PHX @ BKN
126 - 117
Oct 12, 2025
BKN @ PHX
111 - 109
Oct 10, 2025
PHX @ BKN
132 - 127
Jan 22, 2025
PHX @ BKN
108 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.6% more
Phoenix: 4.3
vs
Brooklyn: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+21.3% more
Phoenix: 8.5
vs
Brooklyn: 6.7
Assists (L5)
+8.4% more
Phoenix: 27.5
vs
Brooklyn: 25.2
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
Brooklyn: 16.2
vs
Phoenix: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
105.7
132
BKN Score
101.1
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 33.2
48.3 / 26.2
Assists
25.2 / 27.5
26.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.3
1.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 44.9
47.1 / 44.3
Free Throw %
73.4 / 65.9
80.5 / 76.1
Rebounding
41.5 / 44.0
43.0 / 47.0
Steals
6.7 / 8.5
11.0 / 18.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 14.3
34.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
PHX
BKN
PHX
ML
53%
50-45
57%
60-45
59%
48-34
51%
45-43
ATS
52%
48-44-3
58%
59-43-3
59%
48-34
51%
45-43
TTL
57%
54-41
59%
61-42-2
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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