ORLANDO
MAGICORL
1-0 | Road
128
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
0-2 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
76ERS
100%
MAGIC
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
27.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
20.7%
PHI By 1-7 points
21.1%
PHI By 8-14 points
10.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
105.35
ORLANDO
Philadelphia
101.99
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 207.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
ORL @ PHI
97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026
PHI @ ORL
103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025
ORL @ PHI
144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025
ORL @ PHI
124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025
ORL @ PHI
128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Orlando: 43.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 41.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+25.5% more
Philadelphia: 17.8
vs
Orlando: 14.2
Steals (L5)
+11.1% more
Philadelphia: 8.8
vs
Orlando: 7.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.6%
Philadelphia: 77.1%
vs
Orlando: 71.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
105.4
128
PHI Score
102.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 28.6
23.5 / 34.4
Assists
21.4 / 20.5
21.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.7 / 5.6
6.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
41.3 / 43.3
38.8 / 48.8
Free Throw %
77.1 / 71.5
70.0 / 88.1
Rebounding
44.4 / 47.0
36.0 / 54.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.9
14.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 14.2
18.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ORL
PHI
ORL
ML
63%
69-40
61%
65-42
48%
45-48
56%
51-40
ATS
65%
71-38
64%
68-38-1
48%
45-48
56%
51-40
TTL
55%
60-49
57%
61-46
100%
93-0
100%
91-0
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