SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
2-1 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
1-2 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Troy Melton
#52 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 8.10 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Troy Melton | None-None | 6.14 | -- | 3.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
8.10
ERA
Ldr 6.14
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 3.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
80%
TIGERS
20%
MARINERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.1%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.2%
DET By 1-2 runs
12.0%
DET By 3-4 runs
6.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.06
SEATTLE
Detroit
2.52
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
80% Win Prob
B
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.5
A
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.6
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+83.2% more
Seattle: 1.9
vs
Detroit: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+40.1% more
Seattle: 14.6
vs
Detroit: 8.7
Hits (L5)
+15.1% more
Seattle: 7.5
vs
Detroit: 6.4
Strikeouts (L5)
+14.5% more
Seattle: 10.5
vs
Detroit: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.1
3
DET Score
2.5
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.4 / 7.5
13.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 1.9
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 10.5
10.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
8.7 / 14.6
26.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.0 / 2.7
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SEA
DET
SEA
ML
54%
86-73
50%
81-81
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
60%
98-64
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-10
53%
81-71-10
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