NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
0-0-0 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
1-0-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 4.16 | 0.857 | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.16
GAA
--
0.857
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
PIT @ NYI
8 - 3
Feb 3, 2026
PIT @ NYI
4 - 5
Oct 9, 2025
NYI @ PIT
3 - 4
Mar 18, 2025
NYI @ PIT
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2024
NYI @ PIT
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+8.9% more
New York: 25.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 22.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.1%
New York: 55.4%
vs
Pittsburgh: 52.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
3
PIT Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.5 / 17.5
12.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
52.3 / 55.4
41.8 / 58.2
Hits
22.8 / 25.0
23.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
6.4 / 7.0
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.9 / 33.4
28.0 / 37.0
Takeaways
1.3 / 1.3
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NYI
PIT
NYI
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …