MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
0-1-0 | Road
5
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
0-0-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 1.00 | 0.968 | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 8.06 | 0.615 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
8.06
0.968 Ldr
Save %
0.615
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
RED WINGS
0%
CANADIENS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
MTL By 1 goal
2.8%
MTL By 2-3 goals
1.2%
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
1
MONTREAL
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
MTL @ DET
1 - 3
Jan 10, 2026
DET @ MTL
4 - 0
Oct 9, 2025
MTL @ DET
5 - 1
Apr 8, 2025
DET @ MTL
1 - 4
Jan 23, 2025
MTL @ DET
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+29.9% more
Detroit: 15.8
vs
Montreal: 12.1
Power Play % (L5)
+8.9%
Detroit: 23.0%
vs
Montreal: 14.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+37.3% more
Montreal: 3.1
vs
Detroit: 2.0
Hits (L5)
+36.2% more
Montreal: 33.5
vs
Detroit: 21.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
1.0
5
DET Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 12.1
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
43.1 / 47.6
57.5 / 42.5
Hits
21.3 / 33.5
34.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
23.0 / 14.1
25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
30.5 / 28.5
31.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
2.0 / 3.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MTL
DET
MTL
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…