NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
0-1-0 | Road
4
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
0-0-0 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 3.01 | 0.906 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
3.01
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.906
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
SABRES
0%
RANGERS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
NYR By 1 goal
12.1%
NYR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
BUF @ NYR
5 - 3
Jan 8, 2026
BUF @ NYR
5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025
NYR @ BUF
4 - 0
Feb 22, 2025
NYR @ BUF
2 - 8
Dec 11, 2024
NYR @ BUF
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.9% more
Buffalo: 30.8
vs
New York: 25.3
Power Play % (L5)
+12.6%
Buffalo: 15.4%
vs
New York: 2.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+45.8% more
New York: 3.3
vs
Buffalo: 1.8
Hits (L5)
+25.6% more
New York: 29.9
vs
Buffalo: 22.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
3.0
4
BUF Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 16.5
12.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
48.0 / 48.2
35.0 / 65.0
Hits
22.2 / 29.9
24.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
1541.0 / 282.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.8 / 25.3
37.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
1.8 / 3.3
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
NYR
BUF
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
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