DALLAS
STARSDAL
0-0-0 | Road
5
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
0-0-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 4.00 | 0.840 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 5.11 | 0.865 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00 Ldr
GAA
5.11
0.840
Save %
Ldr 0.865
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
JETS
100%
STARS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Stars (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
5 - 4
May 17, 2025
WPG @ DAL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+37.6% more
Dallas: 1.9
vs
Winnipeg: 1.2
Power Play % (L5)
+21.4%
Dallas: 34.0%
vs
Winnipeg: 12.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.1%
Dallas: 53.5%
vs
Winnipeg: 45.5%
Hits (L5)
+19.1% more
Winnipeg: 29.2
vs
Dallas: 24.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
5
WPG Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 13.5
8.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
45.5 / 53.5
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
29.2 / 24.5
33.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
12.6 / 34.0
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 24.4
25.0 / 37.0
Takeaways
1.2 / 1.9
9.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
DAL
WPG
DAL
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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