CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
1-0-0 | Road
1
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
0-0-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 5.04 | 0.808 | -- |
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 1.01 | 0.944 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.04
GAA
Ldr 1.01
0.808
Save %
Ldr 0.944
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
CANUCKS
0%
FLAMES
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +2.0 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
CGY By 1 goal
6.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
3.7%
VAN By 1 goal
17.5%
VAN By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CGY @ VAN
1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026
VAN @ CGY
3 - 7
Nov 23, 2025
CGY @ VAN
5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025
CGY @ VAN
1 - 5
Oct 1, 2025
VAN @ CGY
8 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+37.7% more
Calgary: 16.7
vs
Vancouver: 10.4
Power Play % (L5)
+11.5%
Calgary: 26.1%
vs
Vancouver: 14.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.3%
Calgary: 51.6%
vs
Vancouver: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.0
1
VAN Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.4 / 16.7
18.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
45.3 / 51.6
43.6 / 56.4
Hits
21.7 / 23.5
27.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
1465.0 / 2611.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.3 / 23.2
26.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 3.6
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CGY
VAN
CGY
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…
Rangers' Center Depth in Jeopardy After Veleno's Lower-Body Inju…
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late