PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
0-0-0 | Road
3
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
0-0-0 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 1.01 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
1.01
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.966
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
RANGERS
0%
PENGUINS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
New York
3
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
PIT @ NYR
2 - 3
Jan 31, 2026
NYR @ PIT
5 - 6
Oct 11, 2025
NYR @ PIT
6 - 1
Oct 7, 2025
PIT @ NYR
3 - 0
Feb 23, 2025
NYR @ PIT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+98.6% more
New York: 2.9
vs
Pittsburgh: 1.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.5% more
New York: 13.5
vs
Pittsburgh: 10.2
Hits (L5)
+20.0% more
New York: 27.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 23.2
Power Play % (L5)
+23.9%
Pittsburgh: 42.8%
vs
New York: 18.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.0
3
NYR Score
3.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 10.2
17.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 51.1
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
27.8 / 23.2
34.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
1888.0 / 4282.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 30.3
25.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
2.9 / 1.5
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
PIT
NYR
PIT
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
TTL
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
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