Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Bulls CLE @ CHI

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

0-1  |  Road

112
FINAL
Thu, Oct 9 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

1-0  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
BULLS
100%
CAVALIERS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.3
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.3 points (Cleveland)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

79.6%

Bulls Cover

20.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -8.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-7 points

25.1%

CLE By 8-14 points

26.4%

CHI By 1-7 points

13.3%

CHI By 8-14 points

4.6%

AI Model Projected Score
124.83
CLEVELAND
116.54
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
102
CLEVELAND
108
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.3
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 241.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 CLE @ CHI 115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025 CHI @ CLE 136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025 CLE @ CHI 111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025 CHI @ CLE 122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025 CLE @ CHI 112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +25.5% more
Cleveland: 11.8 vs Chicago: 8.8
Turnovers (L5) +31.4% more
Chicago: 19.1 vs Cleveland: 14.6
Assists (L5) +25.2% more
Chicago: 27.0 vs Cleveland: 21.5
Blocks (L5) +21.4% more
Chicago: 4.4 vs Cleveland: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 124.8 112
CHI Score 116.5 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 33.4 33.3 / 39.0
Assists 27.0 / 21.5 32.0 / 26.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.7 4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 44.1 43.9 / 41.1
Free Throw % 79.9 / 71.5 59.4 / 68.8
Rebounding 48.8 / 41.3 55.0 / 49.0
Steals 8.8 / 11.8 13.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 19.1 / 14.6 21.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CLE
CHI
CLE
ML
56% 54-42
60% 69-46
57% 46-35
56% 55-44
ATS
65% 62-33-1
67% 75-37-3
57% 46-35
56% 55-44
TTL
58% 56-40
59% 68-47
100% 81-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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