SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
1-1 | Road
8
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
1-1 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brenan Hanifee
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Brenan Hanifee | None-None | 18.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
18.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
50%
TIGERS
50%
MARINERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
78%
Under 0
22%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.5%
DET By 1-2 runs
10.9%
DET By 3-4 runs
5.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.12
SEATTLE
Detroit
2.23
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.9
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+63.0% more
Seattle: 1.3
vs
Detroit: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+42.9% more
Seattle: 3.6
vs
Detroit: 2.1
Total Bases (L5)
+30.5% more
Seattle: 12.4
vs
Detroit: 8.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+24.7% more
Seattle: 11.3
vs
Detroit: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.1
8
DET Score
2.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.1 / 7.3
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.3
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 11.3
10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
8.6 / 12.4
9.0 / 19.0
Walks
2.1 / 3.6
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SEA
DET
SEA
ML
54%
86-73
50%
81-81
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
60%
98-64
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-10
53%
81-71-10
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