CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTECLT
1-4 | Road
7
ARMY
ARMYARMY
2-3 | Home
24
Key Game
KEY GAME
Bronson Long
#95 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Dawson Jones
#95 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Bronson Long | None-None |
| Dawson Jones | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARLOTTE
100%
ARMY
0%
CHARLOTTE
--
ARMY
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ARMY -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
CLT By 1-6 points
12.9%
CLT By 7-13 points
9.6%
ARMY By 1-6 points
16.5%
ARMY By 7-13 points
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
39
CHARLOTTE
Army
46
ARMY
Simulated Score
Charlotte
24
CHARLOTTE
Army
20
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Army
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Charlotte
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Army (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim
Charlotte (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 85.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 11, 2025
CLT @ ARMY
7 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+147.3% more
Army: 268.7
vs
Charlotte: 108.7
Time of Possession (L5)
+11.0% more
Army: 0.6
vs
Charlotte: 0.5
Turnovers (L5)
+59.0% more
Charlotte: 2.5
vs
Army: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLT Score
39.0
7
ARMY Score
46.0
24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
18.4 / 19.5
20.0 / 11.0
Rushing Yards
268.7 / 108.7
304.0 / 68.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.57 / 0.36
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.63 / 0.37
Total Yards
337.6 / 338.5
354.0 / 178.0
Turnovers
1.0 / 2.5
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
0-5-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -23.4
ATS +/-: -9.7
ARMY
Advantage
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 13.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -23.4
ATS +/-: -9.7
ARMY
1-2-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 13.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +5.3
ARMY
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
CLT
ARMY
CLT
ML
100%
4-0
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
ATS
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
TTL
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
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