Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Old Dominion @ Marshall ODU @ MRSH

OLD DOMINION

OLD DOMINIONODU

4-1  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sat, Oct 11 • 3:30 PM ET
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
View Odds Details →

MARSHALL

MARSHALLMRSH

2-3  |  Home

48
Key Game
Ian Brandt
KEY GAME

Ian Brandt

#96 | Punter
@
Cam Chmura
KEY GAME

Cam Chmura

#92 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Ian Brandt None-None
Cam Chmura None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OLD DOMINION
0%
📊
MARSHALL
100%
OLD DOMINION --
MARSHALL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
50.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Old Dominion)
Old DominionODU (-3.5) 0 MarshallMRSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Old Dominion Cover

97.7%

Marshall Cover

2.3%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ODU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

ODU By 1-6 points

3.8%

ODU By 7-13 points

8.8%

MRSH By 1-6 points

1.4%

MRSH By 7-13 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
39
OLD DOMINION
11
MARSHALL
Simulated Score
20
OLD DOMINION
31
MARSHALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Old Dominion Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Marshall Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Old Dominion (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Sim Marshall (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 11, 2025 ODU @ MRSH 24 - 48
Nov 23, 2024 MRSH @ ODU 42 - 35
Sep 30, 2023 ODU @ MRSH 35 - 41
Nov 5, 2022 MRSH @ ODU 12 - 0
Oct 9, 2021 ODU @ MRSH 13 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +44.5% more
Old Dominion: 1.8 vs Marshall: 1.0
Total Yards (L5) +22.5% more
Old Dominion: 533.2 vs Marshall: 413.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +20.6% more
Old Dominion: 266.4 vs Marshall: 211.5
First Downs (L5) +11.8% more
Old Dominion: 25.5 vs Marshall: 22.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 39.0 24
MRSH Score 11.0 48
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.5 / 25.5 22.0 / 15.0
Rushing Yards 211.5 / 266.4 223.0 / 173.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.27 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 413.0 / 533.2 445.0 / 439.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 1.8 0.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
MRSH Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -12.8 ATS +/-: -13.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
MRSH Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.8 ATS +/-: -13.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.3
MRSH
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRSH
ODU
MRSH
ODU
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
40% 2-3
ATS
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
TTL
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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