Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech VT @ GT

VIRGINIA TECH

VIRGINIA TECHVT

2-4  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sat, Oct 11 • 3:30 PM ET
Bobby Dodd Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

5-0  |  Home

35
Key Game
John Love
KEY GAME

John Love

#17 | Place kicker
@
Aidan Birr
KEY GAME

Aidan Birr

#33 | Place kicker
Player
John Love None-None
Aidan Birr None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIRGINIA TECH
100%
📊
GEORGIA TECH
0%
VIRGINIA TECH --
GEORGIA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Virginia TechVT (-3.5) 0 Georgia TechGT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Virginia Tech Cover

30.9%

Georgia Tech Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

VT By 1-6 points

12.9%

VT By 7-13 points

9.6%

GT By 1-6 points

16.5%

GT By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
39
VIRGINIA TECH
46
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
24
VIRGINIA TECH
27
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Georgia Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Georgia Tech Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Georgia Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim Georgia Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 85.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 11, 2025 VT @ GT 20 - 35
Oct 26, 2024 GT @ VT 6 - 21
Nov 5, 2022 GT @ VT 28 - 27
Oct 30, 2021 VT @ GT 26 - 17
Nov 16, 2019 VT @ GT 45 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +28.4% more
Georgia Tech: 213.3 vs Virginia Tech: 166.1
Total Yards (L5) +28.2% more
Georgia Tech: 448.2 vs Virginia Tech: 349.5
First Downs (L5) +18.6% more
Georgia Tech: 22.7 vs Virginia Tech: 19.2
Turnovers (L5) +18.0% more
Georgia Tech: 1.1 vs Virginia Tech: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VT Score 39.0 20
GT Score 46.0 35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.7 / 19.2 28.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 213.3 / 166.1 268.0 / 186.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.58 / 0.0
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards 448.2 / 349.5 481.0 / 367.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 0.9 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
GT
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
GT
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.3
GT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
VT
GT
VT
ML
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
TTL
25% 1-3
20% 1-4
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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