Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / UL Monroe @ Coastal ULM @ CCU

UL MONROE

UL MONROEULM

3-2  |  Road

8
FINAL
Sat, Oct 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Brooks Stadium (SC)
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

2-3  |  Home

23
Key Game
Makenzie Ryan
KEY GAME

Makenzie Ryan

#47 | Punter
@
Ibrahim Diawara
KEY GAME

Ibrahim Diawara

#1 | Defensive End
Player
Makenzie Ryan None-None
Ibrahim Diawara None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
UL MONROE
0%
📊
COASTAL
100%
UL MONROE --
COASTAL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
50.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
UL MONROE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (UL Monroe)
UL MonroeULM (-3.5) 0 CoastalCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

UL Monroe Cover

97.7%

Coastal Cover

2.3%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ULM -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ULM)

ULM By 1-6 points

3.8%

ULM By 7-13 points

8.8%

CCU By 1-6 points

1.4%

CCU By 7-13 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
39
UL MONROE
11
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
17
UL MONROE
38
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI UL Monroe Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Coastal Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI UL Monroe (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Sim Coastal (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 11, 2025 ULM @ CCU 8 - 23
Oct 8, 2022 CCU @ ULM 28 - 21
Oct 2, 2021 ULM @ CCU 6 - 59
Nov 23, 2019 CCU @ ULM 42 - 45
Oct 13, 2018 ULM @ CCU 45 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +21.1% more
UL Monroe: 163.3 vs Coastal Carolina: 128.9
Total Yards (L5) +18.0% more
UL Monroe: 321.8 vs Coastal Carolina: 264.0
First Downs (L5) +8.5% more
UL Monroe: 17.4 vs Coastal Carolina: 15.9
Turnovers (L5) +130.0% more
Coastal Carolina: 2.1 vs UL Monroe: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ULM Score 39.0 8
CCU Score 11.0 23
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.9 / 17.4 16.0 / 14.0
Rushing Yards 128.9 / 163.3 286.0 / 139.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.31 / 0.08
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 264.0 / 321.8 378.0 / 315.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 0.8 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ULM Advantage
3-9-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -15.3 ATS +/-: -8.0
CCU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ULM
4-8-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -15.3 ATS +/-: -8.0
CCU Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ULM
6-6-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
CCU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
ULM
CCU
ULM
ML
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
ATS
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
TTL
25% 1-3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2-1
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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