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SAN JOSÉ STATE

SAN JOSÉ STSJSU

2-3  |  Road

28
FINAL
Sat, Oct 11 • 7:00 PM ET
War Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

WYOMING

WYOMINGWYO

2-3  |  Home

35
Key Game
Trent Carrizosa
KEY GAME

Trent Carrizosa

#49 | Punter
@
Bart Edmiston
KEY GAME

Bart Edmiston

#18 | Punter
Player
Trent Carrizosa None-None
Bart Edmiston None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SAN JOSÉ ST
0%
📊
WYOMING
100%
SAN JOSÉ ST --
WYOMING --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (San José State)
San José StSJSU (-3.5) 0 WyomingWYO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

San José St Cover

84.1%

Wyoming Cover

15.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SJSU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJSU)

SJSU By 1-6 points

12.9%

SJSU By 7-13 points

19.0%

WYO By 1-6 points

7.9%

WYO By 7-13 points

4.7%

AI Model Projected Score
29
SAN JOSÉ STATE
15
WYOMING
Simulated Score
17
SAN JOSÉ STATE
24
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI San José St Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Wyoming Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI San José St (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Sim Wyoming (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 11, 2025 SJSU @ WYO 28 - 35
Oct 19, 2024 WYO @ SJSU 14 - 24
Oct 1, 2022 SJSU @ WYO 33 - 16
Oct 30, 2021 WYO @ SJSU 21 - 27
Nov 3, 2018 SJSU @ WYO 9 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +22.9% more
San José State: 443.2 vs Wyoming: 341.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +19.0% more
San José State: 0.5 vs Wyoming: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +10.7% more
San José State: 22.2 vs Wyoming: 19.9
Turnovers (L5) +33.1% more
Wyoming: 1.7 vs San José State: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJSU Score 29.0 28
WYO Score 15.0 35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.9 / 22.2 21.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards 137.6 / 117.9 109.0 / 43.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.5 0.33 / 0.32
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 341.8 / 443.2 413.0 / 383.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 1.2 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJSU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: +2.4
WYO
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJSU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: +2.4
WYO
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SJSU
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.1
WYO
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
SJSU
WYO
SJSU
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
60% 3-2
ATS
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
100% 5-0
60% 3-2
TTL
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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