Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Rutgers @ Washington RUTG @ WASH

RUTGERS

RUTGERSRUTG

3-2  |  Road

19
FINAL
Fri, Oct 10 • 9:00 PM ET
Husky Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WASHINGTONWASH

4-1  |  Home

38
Key Game
Jakob Anderson
KEY GAME

Jakob Anderson

#94 | Punter
@
Luke Dunne
KEY GAME

Luke Dunne

#45 | Punter
Player
Jakob Anderson None-None
Luke Dunne None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RUTGERS
0%
📊
WASHINGTON
100%
RUTGERS --
WASHINGTON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
27.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Rutgers)
RutgersRUTG (-3.5) 0 WashingtonWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rutgers Cover

64.0%

Washington Cover

36.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around RUTG -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)

RUTG By 1-6 points

16.9%

RUTG By 7-13 points

18.5%

WASH By 1-6 points

14.2%

WASH By 7-13 points

11.3%

AI Model Projected Score
16
RUTGERS
11
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
20
RUTGERS
38
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Rutgers Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Washington Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Rutgers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
B
Sim Washington (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 27.0
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 10, 2025 RUTG @ WASH 19 - 38
Sep 27, 2024 WASH @ RUTG 18 - 21
Sep 1, 2017 WASH @ RUTG 30 - 14
Sep 3, 2016 RUTG @ WASH 13 - 48
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +11.2% more
Rutgers: 26.7 vs Washington: 23.7
Turnovers (L5) +9.0% more
Rutgers: 0.6 vs Washington: 0.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score 16.0 19
WASH Score 11.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.7 / 26.7 26.0 / 25.0
Rushing Yards 140.4 / 137.2 177.0 / 107.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 393.7 / 419.4 579.0 / 493.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 0.6 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: -7.0
WASH Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -11.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: -7.0
WASH
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -11.6
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +6.1
WASH
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
RUTG
WASH
RUTG
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
ATS
80% 4-1
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
TTL
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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