LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
0-0 | Road
5
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
0-0 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Roki Sasaki
#11 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jhoan Duran
#59 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roki Sasaki | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Jhoan Duran | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
50%
PHILLIES
50%
DODGERS
--
PHILLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
61%
Under 0
39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.2%
LAD By 3-4 runs
15.2%
PHI By 1-2 runs
17.3%
PHI By 3-4 runs
11.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
6.48
LOS ANGELES
Philadelphia
5.91
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phillies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
A
Sim
Phillies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 22, 2026
LAD @ PHI
9 - 5
Jul 21, 2026
LAD @ PHI
2 - 1
Jul 20, 2026
LAD @ PHI
7 - 10
May 31, 2026
PHI @ LAD
1 - 9
May 30, 2026
PHI @ LAD
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Philadelphia
PHI
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.424
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.438
.762
▲
OPS
.724
204
▲
Home Runs
3
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Errors (L5)
+75.7% more
Los Angeles: 1.2
vs
Philadelphia: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+48.9% more
Los Angeles: 20.4
vs
Philadelphia: 10.4
Hits (L5)
+43.9% more
Los Angeles: 11.2
vs
Philadelphia: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
6.5
5
PHI Score
5.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.3 / 11.2
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 2.0
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
11.7 / 12.8
13.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
10.4 / 20.4
9.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.6 / 4.0
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
PHI
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
Advantage
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
LAD
PHI
LAD
ML
59%
97-67
56%
92-73
49%
80-84
48%
79-87
ATS
65%
107-57
59%
98-67
51%
83-81
43%
72-94
TTL
57%
88-67-9
48%
77-82-6
51%
78-76-9
44%
70-90-6
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