DETROIT

TIGERSDET

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Oct 4 • 8:38 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

0-0  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Keider Montero
STARTING PITCHER

Keider Montero

#54 | Starting Pitcher
@
Andres Munoz
STARTING PITCHER

Andres Munoz

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Keider Montero None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
Andres Munoz None-None 0.00 -- 2.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
50%
📊
MARINERS
50%
TIGERS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

40.2%

Mariners Cover

59.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

DET By 1-2 runs

16.3%

DET By 3-4 runs

10.7%

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

SEA By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3.75
DETROIT
4.74
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mariners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mariners (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Mariners (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 6, 2026 DET @ SEA 11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026 DET @ SEA 2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026 DET @ SEA 8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026 SEA @ DET 4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 SEA @ DET 4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.46 ▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.241 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.720 ▲
OPS
.693
181
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +31.0% more
Seattle: 0.9 vs Detroit: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5) +29.9% more
Seattle: 10.0 vs Detroit: 7.7
Errors (L5) +47.0% more
Detroit: 0.6 vs Seattle: 0.1
Walks (L5) +18.1% more
Detroit: 2.9 vs Seattle: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.8 3
SEA Score 4.7 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.6 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.4 / 8.0 6.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.6 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.0 / 7.7 16.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 11.4 / 10.9 9.0 / 11.0
Walks 2.4 / 2.9 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7