CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
0-0 | Road
118
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
0-0 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
BULLS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.3
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.3 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -6.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHI By 1-7 points
16.5%
CHI By 8-14 points
6.5%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.7%
CLE By 8-14 points
24.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
116.49
CHICAGO
Cleveland
122.78
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
105
CHICAGO
Cleveland
108
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.3
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 239.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
CLE @ CHI
115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025
CHI @ CLE
136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025
CLE @ CHI
111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025
CHI @ CLE
122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025
CLE @ CHI
112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.6% more
Chicago: 24.9
vs
Cleveland: 18.8
Blocks (L5)
+14.4% more
Chicago: 4.7
vs
Cleveland: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+8.6% more
Chicago: 15.7
vs
Cleveland: 14.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.5%
Chicago: 83.7%
vs
Cleveland: 78.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
116.5
118
CLE Score
122.8
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 32.3
36.6 / 32.5
Assists
18.8 / 24.9
27.0 / 31.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.7
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 45.2
46.8 / 51.9
Free Throw %
78.2 / 83.7
58.3 / 72.4
Rebounding
46.0 / 47.6
32.0 / 51.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.7
19.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 15.7
15.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHI
CLE
CHI
ML
60%
69-46
56%
54-42
56%
55-44
57%
46-35
ATS
67%
75-37-3
65%
62-33-1
56%
55-44
57%
46-35
TTL
59%
68-47
58%
56-40
100%
99-0
100%
81-0
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