DETROIT
TIGERSDET
1-0 | Road
2
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
0-1 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Finnegan
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | None-None | 1.93 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.93
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
MARINERS
0%
TIGERS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
DET By 1-2 runs
15.9%
DET By 3-4 runs
10.2%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.1
DETROIT
Seattle
4.25
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
A
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.46
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.241
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.720
▲
OPS
.693
181
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+53.9% more
Seattle: 12.0
vs
Detroit: 7.8
Home Runs (L5)
+21.0% more
Seattle: 0.9
vs
Detroit: 0.7
Walks (L5)
+12.4% more
Seattle: 2.9
vs
Detroit: 2.6
Errors (L5)
+32.0% more
Detroit: 0.4
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.1
2
SEA Score
4.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.0 / 7.7
8.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.7
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
12.0 / 7.8
10.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.6 / 10.9
16.0 / 4.0
Walks
2.9 / 2.6
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
DET
SEA
DET
ML
50%
81-81
54%
86-73
52%
85-77
54%
87-73
ATS
60%
98-64
64%
101-58
59%
95-67
57%
91-69
TTL
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-9
53%
81-71-10
46%
69-81-10
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