AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
BRUINS
100%
RANGERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
19.0%
NYR By 2-3 goals
23.6%
BOS By 1 goal
15.3%
BOS By 2-3 goals
14.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.76
NEW YORK
Boston
3.31
BOSTON
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
NYR @ BOS
0 - 3
Jan 26, 2026
BOS @ NYR
3 - 4
Jan 10, 2026
NYR @ BOS
2 - 10
Nov 28, 2025
NYR @ BOS
6 - 2
Oct 4, 2025
NYR @ BOS
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+2.8%
New York: 18.9%
vs
Boston: 16.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+25.3% more
Boston: 2.3
vs
New York: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
3.8
1
BOS Score
3.3
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NYR
BOS
NYR
ML
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
TTL
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
60%
3-2