COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-0-0 | Road
2
DALLAS
STARSDAL
0-0-0 | Home
3
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
STARS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
COL By 1 goal
15.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
13.8%
DAL By 1 goal
19.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
24.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
1.9
COLORADO
Dallas
2.38
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
COL @ DAL
2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026
DAL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026
COL @ DAL
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
DAL @ COL
5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025
COL @ DAL
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+20.5%
Dallas: 34.0%
vs
Colorado: 13.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.3%
Dallas: 53.5%
vs
Colorado: 50.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+49.6% more
Colorado: 2.8
vs
Dallas: 1.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.2% more
Colorado: 34.5
vs
Dallas: 24.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
1.9
2
DAL Score
2.4
3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
COL
DAL
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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