DETROIT
PISTONSDET
0-0 | Road
128
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
0-0 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
GRIZZLIES
0%
PISTONS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.3
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.3 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -9.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
DET By 1-7 points
11.7%
DET By 8-14 points
3.8%
MEM By 1-7 points
23.9%
MEM By 8-14 points
27.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
108.51
DETROIT
Memphis
117.82
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Memphis
118
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.3
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
MEM @ DET
110 - 126
Nov 3, 2025
DET @ MEM
114 - 106
Oct 6, 2025
DET @ MEM
128 - 112
Apr 5, 2025
MEM @ DET
109 - 103
Nov 27, 2024
DET @ MEM
111 - 131
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+19.4% more
Memphis: 18.3
vs
Detroit: 15.4
Blocks (L5)
+15.2% more
Memphis: 6.8
vs
Detroit: 5.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
Memphis: 46.2
vs
Detroit: 42.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.2%
Memphis: 87.3%
vs
Detroit: 79.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
108.5
128
MEM Score
117.8
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 29.7
40.8 / 35.9
Assists
22.7 / 22.1
21.0 / 29.0
Blocks
6.8 / 5.9
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 45.2
40.9 / 53.3
Free Throw %
87.3 / 79.1
69.0 / 62.1
Rebounding
46.2 / 42.6
38.0 / 55.0
Steals
6.0 / 7.8
13.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
18.3 / 15.4
19.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
DET
MEM
DET
ML
57%
59-44
55%
64-53
50%
41-41
49%
47-49
ATS
63%
65-38
53%
60-54-3
50%
41-41
49%
47-49
TTL
70%
71-31-1
60%
70-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
96-0
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