WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
0-0-0 | Road
5
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
FLAMES
100%
JETS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
17.9%
WPG By 2-3 goals
19.8%
CGY By 1 goal
17.0%
CGY By 2-3 goals
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
2.5
WINNIPEG
Calgary
2.39
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
WPG @ CGY
4 - 3
Oct 24, 2025
CGY @ WPG
3 - 5
Oct 20, 2025
WPG @ CGY
2 - 1
Oct 3, 2025
WPG @ CGY
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CGY @ WPG
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+31.1% more
Winnipeg: 26.2
vs
Calgary: 18.1
Takeaways (L5)
+74.0% more
Calgary: 1.6
vs
Winnipeg: 0.8
Power Play % (L5)
+19.8%
Calgary: 32.5%
vs
Winnipeg: 12.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.6%
Calgary: 51.0%
vs
Winnipeg: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
2.5
5
CGY Score
2.4
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
WPG
CGY
WPG
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
