Home / NHL Projections NHL / Oilers @ Canucks EDM @ VAN

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Oct 3 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

0-0-0  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
CANUCKS
100%
OILERS --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

57.7%

Canucks Cover

42.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

18.9%

EDM By 2-3 goals

22.9%

VAN By 1 goal

15.6%

VAN By 2-3 goals

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.35
EDMONTON
2.96
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
4
EDMONTON
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 1, 2026 EDM @ VAN 9 - 7
Sep 29, 2026 VAN @ EDM 6 - 5
Apr 16, 2026 VAN @ EDM 1 - 6
Jan 17, 2026 EDM @ VAN 6 - 0
Oct 26, 2025 EDM @ VAN 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +43.9% more
Edmonton: 18.5 vs Vancouver: 10.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.6% more
Edmonton: 30.2 vs Vancouver: 24.3
Faceoff % (L5) +2.3%
Edmonton: 47.6% vs Vancouver: 45.3%
Takeaways (L5) +47.6% more
Vancouver: 2.2 vs Edmonton: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.4 2
VAN Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
EDM
VAN
EDM
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…
yardbarker 2 days, 7 hours ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 6 hours ago
Rangers' Center Depth in Jeopardy After Veleno's Lower-Body Inju…
nypost 3 days, 18 hours ago