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OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

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1
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

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7
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
SENATORS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (St. Louis)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

35.2%

Blues Cover

64.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

OTT By 1 goal

13.5%

OTT By 2-3 goals

11.3%

STL By 1 goal

19.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

27.0%

AI Model Projected Score
3
OTTAWA
3.76
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
OTTAWA
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 STL @ OTT 2 - 1
Nov 28, 2025 OTT @ STL 3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025 OTT @ STL 1 - 7
Jan 3, 2025 OTT @ STL 0 - 4
Oct 29, 2024 STL @ OTT 1 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +52.2% more
St. Louis: 32.5 vs Ottawa: 21.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +41.7% more
St. Louis: 20.0 vs Ottawa: 14.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.1% more
St. Louis: 25.6 vs Ottawa: 23.1
Faceoff % (L5) +8.1%
St. Louis: 51.7% vs Ottawa: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 3.0 1
STL Score 3.8 7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
OTT
STL
OTT
ML
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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