Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Saints NYG @ NO

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

1-3  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sun, Oct 5 • 1:00 PM ET
Caesars Superdome
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

SAINTSNO

0-4  |  Home

26
Key Game
Gunner Olszewski
KEY GAME

Gunner Olszewski

#80 | Wide Receiver
@
Bryan Bresee
KEY GAME

Bryan Bresee

#90 | Defensive Tackle
Player
Gunner Olszewski None-None
Bryan Bresee None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
📊
SAINTS
0%
GIANTS --
SAINTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
36.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.5
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.5 points (New Orleans)
GiantsNYG (-3.5) 0 SaintsNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

25.0%

Saints Cover

75.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NO -9.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

NYG By 1-6 points

11.1%

NYG By 7-13 points

7.7%

NO By 1-6 points

15.5%

NO By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
13.58
NEW YORK
23.04
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
20
NEW YORK
24
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Saints Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Saints Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Saints (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.5
D
Sim Saints (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 36.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 5, 2025 NYG @ NO 14 - 26
Dec 8, 2024 NO @ NYG 14 - 11
Dec 17, 2023 NYG @ NO 6 - 24
Oct 3, 2021 NYG @ NO 27 - 21
Sep 30, 2018 NO @ NYG 33 - 18
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +9.9% more
New Orleans: 20.5 vs New York: 18.6
Turnovers (L5) +8.0% more
New Orleans: 0.9 vs New York: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 13.6 14
NO Score 23.0 26
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.5 / 18.6 18.0 / 23.0
Net Passing Yards 168.9 / 179.9 244.0 / 199.0
Rushing Yards 125.2 / 119.4 88.0 / 136.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.47 / 0.3
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 294.1 / 299.3 332.0 / 335.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 0.8 0.0 / 5.0
Yards Per Play 4.5 / 4.7 5.4 / 4.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
NO
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.8 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
NO
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.8 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
NO
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +11.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
NYG
NO
NYG
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
ATS
0% 0-4
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
TTL
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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