TENNESSEE
TITANSTEN
0-4 | Road
22
ARIZONA
CARDINALSARI
2-2 | Home
21
Key Game
KEY GAME
Owen Pappoe
#40 | Linebacker@
KEY GAME
Blake Gillikin
#12 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Owen Pappoe | None-None |
| Blake Gillikin | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
CARDINALS
0%
TITANS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
32.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ARI -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
TEN By 1-6 points
15.1%
TEN By 7-13 points
12.7%
ARI By 1-6 points
17.0%
ARI By 7-13 points
17.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee
14.59
TENNESSEE
Arizona
17.92
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Tennessee
20
TENNESSEE
Arizona
23
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.3
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 32.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 43.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2025
TEN @ ARI
22 - 21
Sep 12, 2021
ARI @ TEN
38 - 13
Dec 10, 2017
TEN @ ARI
7 - 12
Dec 15, 2013
ARI @ TEN
37 - 34
Nov 29, 2009
ARI @ TEN
17 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+24.2% more
Arizona: 180.2
vs
Tennessee: 145.1
First Downs (L5)
+23.8% more
Arizona: 18.5
vs
Tennessee: 14.9
Total Yards (L5)
+23.2% more
Arizona: 289.1
vs
Tennessee: 234.7
Rushing Yards (L5)
+21.5% more
Arizona: 108.9
vs
Tennessee: 89.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEN Score
14.6
22
ARI Score
17.9
21
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
18.5 / 14.9
16.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards
180.2 / 145.1
192.0 / 249.0
Rushing Yards
108.9 / 89.6
168.0 / 78.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.44 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards
289.1 / 234.7
360.0 / 327.0
Turnovers
1.0 / 1.3
3.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play
4.8 / 4.1
5.6 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
ARI
Advantage
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
ARI
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
TEN
ARI
TEN
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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