Home / NFL Projections NFL / 49ers @ Rams SF @ LAR

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

3-1  |  Road

26
FINAL
Thu, Oct 2 • 8:15 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

3-1  |  Home

23
Key Game
Eddy Pineiro
KEY GAME

Eddy Pineiro

#18 | Place kicker
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Eddy Pineiro None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
49ERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (San Francisco)
49ersSF (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

57.2%

Rams Cover

42.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SF -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-6 points

16.9%

SF By 7-13 points

17.2%

LAR By 1-6 points

15.5%

LAR By 7-13 points

13.3%

AI Model Projected Score
24.96
SAN FRANCISCO
22.41
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
SAN FRANCISCO
20
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Win
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.6
D
Sim 49ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 47.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 10, 2026 SF @ LAR 27 - 7
Nov 9, 2025 LAR @ SF 42 - 26
Oct 2, 2025 SF @ LAR 26 - 23
Dec 12, 2024 LAR @ SF 12 - 6
Sep 22, 2024 SF @ LAR 24 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +57.4% more
San Francisco: 2.3 vs Los Angeles: 1.0
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +10.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +35.2% more
Los Angeles: 118.9 vs San Francisco: 87.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 25.0 26
LAR Score 22.4 23
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.4 / 21.8 27.0 / 27.0
Net Passing Yards 276.9 / 287.4 378.0 / 333.0
Rushing Yards 118.9 / 87.9 78.0 / 74.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.4 / 0.39
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.4 / 0.6
Total Yards 395.7 / 375.3 456.0 / 407.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 2.3 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 6.1 / 5.8 7.1 / 4.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
SF
LAR
SF
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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