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VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

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8
FINAL
Wed, Oct 1 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

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1
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
CANUCKS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Calgary)
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

44.6%

Flames Cover

55.4%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

VAN By 1 goal

16.2%

VAN By 2-3 goals

15.8%

CGY By 1 goal

18.5%

CGY By 2-3 goals

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2.77
VANCOUVER
3.04
CALGARY
Simulated Score
2
VANCOUVER
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim Flames (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 CGY @ VAN 1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026 VAN @ CGY 3 - 7
Nov 23, 2025 CGY @ VAN 5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025 CGY @ VAN 1 - 5
Oct 1, 2025 VAN @ CGY 8 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +43.1% more
Calgary: 14.9 vs Vancouver: 10.4
Takeaways (L5) +31.8% more
Calgary: 2.3 vs Vancouver: 1.8
Shots on Goal (L5) +23.9% more
Calgary: 30.1 vs Vancouver: 24.3
Power Play % (L5) +17.8%
Calgary: 32.5% vs Vancouver: 14.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 2.8 8
CGY Score 3.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
VAN
CGY
VAN
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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